Wednesday, March 19, 2008

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Chapter 12 - Extraterrestrial Life and Pseudoscience

This chapter addresses the really big questions of "Where did we come from?", and "Are we alone in the universe?"
SETI is the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, and has been active mostly through private funding via the SETI Institute which was founded in 1984.
Planets beyond our solar system are being discovered on nearly a weekly basis now.  Currently 228 exoplanets have been identified.
    These planets cannot be seen directly, but their existence can be inferred by observing a periodic wobble (astrometry) or dimming (photometry) of a parent star, or by observing a periodic shift in the emission spectrum of a star from red to blue and back again (doppler spectroscopy).
The number of planets in our galaxy that likely have intelligent life that could communicate with us is found from:  N = n1*f1*f2*f3*n2*f4*f5*f6
where:
    n1 = number of stars in our Milky Way galaxy:  ~400 billion
    f1 = fraction of these stars that are single stars (as opposed to binary or tertiary stars):  ~0.5
    f2 = fraction of single stars that are like our sun (not too big or too small):  ~0.1
    f3 = fraction of sunlike stars that have planetary systems:  0.1 to 1.0
    n2 = number of Earthlike planets in each planetary system:  0.1 to 1 or more
    f4 = fraction of planets where life has arisen or will arise:  0.01 to 1.0
    f5 = fraction of planets where intelligence develops: 0.000001 to 0.01
    f6 = fraction of those planets with intelligent life that could communicate with us:  probably less than 1 ppm
Conclusion:  While there are perhaps millions or even billions of planets in our galaxy where life has developed, it is unlikely that we will have the opportunity to communicate with intelligent life on another planet due to the great distances and relatively short lifetime of technological societies compared to planet lifetimes.

Pseudoscience often masquerades as science, but is not grounded in empirical evidence. 
    Examples include: astrology, UFOs, creationism, ESP, fortune-telling, witches and ghosts, etc.

Review of Exam 2 from last year.